I Asked AI to Predict the Weather for Festival Weekend 2025

Whether you love it or hate AI, it was fun to see what it had to say:

Prompt: Act like a weather expert and predict what the weather will be like for Telluride bluegrass festival of 2025. Use past and historical data.

As a weather expert, here’s an informed forecast for the Telluride Bluegrass Festival 2025, based on decades of climate data and regional weather patterns:


:national_park: Historical Climate Overview (Mid‑June)

The Telluride Bluegrass Festival runs June 19–22, 2025 (Planet Bluegrass).

Temperature

Precipitation & Humidity

  • Mid-summer in the Colorado Rockies coincides with the North American Monsoon, bringing daily convection and afternoon thunderstorms (Wikipedia, Wanderlog).
  • June is relatively dry, but by July, daily rain chances exceed 50%. In late June, expect a 20–30% chance of passing showers, increasing to 40–50% by festival time (Wanderlog, Tourbase).
  • Wet days typically bring light showers or brief thunderstorms with a few millimeters of rain—rarely heavy downpours (Wanderlog, World Weather & Climate Information).

Variability in Mountain Weather

  • Weather can shift rapidly: sunny skies can turn to brisk showers or even a snow flurry at night—some years people have camped during “blizzards” and also burned in the sun within the same festival (Festivarian Forum, Festivarian Forum).

  • A long-time attendee noted:

    “Plan on anything… hot… down to the 30s/40s at night. Rain can happen at any time and snow is not unheard of at night.” (Festivarian Forum)


:compass: Tentative Forecast for June 19–22, 2025

Time of Day Typical Conditions
Afternoons (~12–4 pm) Mostly sunny to partly cloudy, temperatures around 68–75 °F. Some years spike near low 80s due to strong sun and altitude.
Evenings (5–9 pm) Cooling quickly into 50s, clear skies possible, but isolated showers or storms may linger.
Overnight (10 pm–6 am) Chilly, low 40s, occasional dips near 35 °F—still a chance of light rain or even graupel at high elevation.
Precipitation Expect 1–2 afternoon showers or thunderstorms during the 4 days—typically brief (30–90 minutes), often followed by clearing.
Sun & UV With ~14 hours of daylight and high altitude, UV is intense. Be prepared with sunscreen, hat, and sunglasses (Wanderlog, Tourbase).
Wind Moderate—typical midday breezes around 8–9 mph, with occasional gusts if storms move through (Wanderlog).

:school_satchel: What to Pack & Final Recommendations

  1. Layered Clothing

    • Day: Light tees/long-sleeves, sun hat.
    • Evening: Warm mid-layer (fleece or wool), possibly a light down jacket for late-night chill.
    • Thermals optional if you’re sensitive to cold—some attendees pack thermals and warm tights (Festivarian Forum).
  2. Rain Gear

    • Pack a lightweight waterproof jacket or poncho—storms come fast and often subside quickly.
    • Rain boots or waterproof footwear recommended for muddy trails (from festival forums) (Tourbase).
  3. Sun Protection

    • Bring high-SPF sunscreen, UV-blocking sunglasses, and a brimmed hat. High elevation amplifies sun intensity.
  4. Gear Beyond Clothing

    • A refillable water bottle—hydration is crucial at altitude (Tourbase).
    • Compact umbrella could be handy, though crowd-walking ponchos are often more practical.
    • Be prepared for wind—a windproof layer helps during gusty periods.
  5. Altitude Awareness

    • Telluride sits above 8,700 feet elevation (Reddit, Wikipedia). Sun burns faster, and storms can roll in suddenly—pack and dress accordingly.

:dart: Summary

Expect warm, sunny afternoons (70s °F), sharp overnight chills (40s °F), and a few brief afternoon storms or showers, especially later in the festival. Sun protection, warm layers, and rain gear are all essential. Mountain weather is famously unpredictable—prepare for quick shifts.

2 Likes

We’re due for a sunny, hot weekend! That’s my prediction!

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2017 is the last year it didn’t rain at all. I can deal with a few afternoon sprinkles to keep the dust down! But, let’s hope for mostly sunny!

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Anything but hail or snow, please!!!

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